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California divorce attorney, California family law attorneyAmericans hear it from everywhere: half of all marriages end in divorce. It is recited by the media, pop culture, and even expert analysts. There is, however, emerging evidence that suggests the divorce rate may not be quite as high as Americans are told. In fact, a 2014 publication from The New York Times reported that divorce rates are actually on the decline. And, more recently, an analyst determined that the rate of divorce varies based on a number of factors, including education level, ethnicity, and gender.

Why the Myth Exists

According to the analyst, the myth that half of all marriages end in divorce stems from bad math. He explained that most analysts divide the number of divorces of any given year by the number of marriages for that year. If, however, it was taken into account that the people who married that same year are not actually the same people who divorced that year, the numbers would come out quite differently. And, if the data is examined over a longer period of time, those numbers change even more. The New York Times article from 2014 estimated that about a third of all marriages end in divorce; the analyst says the data is even more complex.

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